[BNAWX] Public Severe Weather Alert

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PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1142 AM CDT THU APR 03 2014

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE OZARKS REGION TO PARTS OF THE MID-SOUTH AND LOWER OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

The NWS Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK is forecasting the development of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds from the Ozarks region to parts of the Mid-South and lower Ohio Valley this afternoon and tonight.

The areas most likely to experience this activity include:

       most of Arkansas
       southern Illinois
       far southwestern Indiana
       western Kentucky
       northern Louisiana
       central and southern Missouri
       northwestern Mississippi
       western Tennessee

Elsewhere, severe storms are also possible from the lower-Missouri Valley to western Ohio and southwestward to central Mississippi, eastern Oklahoma, and eastern Texas.

A strong disturbance 3-7 miles above ground will move northeastward out of the Four Corners and Rockies today, causing winds to strengthen over the outlook area.  As that happens, a cold front will overtake a dryline from north to south across parts of eastern Kansas, Missouri, and eastern Oklahoma.  When the front and dryline encounter sunshine-heated and richly moist air to their east, thunderstorms should erupt and become severe, with help from that increase in surrounding winds.

The greatest threat for very large and damaging hail will be with the early, western storms in Missouri, Arkansas, eastern Oklahoma, potentially into northeast Texas this afternoon and evening, while the damaging-wind hazard will ramp up this evening and possibly overnight in the Mississippi Valley.  Tornadoes --some strong with
EF2 or worse damage-- also are possible with the greatest risk of occurrence across central and southern Missouri southward through most of Arkansas.

State and local emergency managers are monitoring this developing situation. Those in the threatened area are urged to review severe weather safety rules and to listen to radio, television, and NOAA Weather Radio for possible watches, warnings, and statements later today.
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