[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Jun 13 10:59:41 CDT 2013


ACUS11 KWNS 131559
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131559
MDZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-131700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1060
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1059 AM CDT THU JUN 13 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN KY...WRN/CNTRL WV

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 305...

VALID 131559Z - 131700Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 305
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL CONTINUES FOR WW
305 OVER CNTRL/ERN KY AND WRN/CNTRL WV.

DISCUSSION...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY AT 1545Z SHOWS A SQUALL LINE
LOCATED FROM FAR WRN WV SWWD INTO CNTRL KY IS MOVING ESEWD AT 35-40
KT. CELLULAR ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE LINE OVER FAR ERN
KY INTO SRN WV. AIRMASS ACROSS THE AREA IS SLOWLY WARMING THROUGH
THE 70S DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF WIDESPREAD STRATO-CUMULUS CLOUD
COVER. TONGUE OF UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S DEWPOINTS EXTENDS NEWD AHEAD
OF THE SQUALL LINE AS WELL...WHICH IS AIDING IN MODERATE INSTABILITY
WITH MLCAPE VALUES FROM 1000-2000 J/KG. THUS...GIVEN THE GRADUALLY
IMPROVING THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT COMBINED WITH VERY FAVORABLE
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR PROFILES...SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE FOR
WW 305...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING WINDS WITH THE SQUALL
LINE...AND SOME HAIL/DAMAGING WIND THREAT WITH THE PRE SQUALL LINE
CELLULAR ACTIVITY.

..GARNER.. 06/13/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...PAH...

LAT...LON   36608805 37328692 38568324 39668138 39627919 38758013
            37508192 36728316 36588373 36608805


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