[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 110029
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110028
TNZ000-ALZ000-110130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1026
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0728 PM CDT MON JUN 10 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 294...

VALID 110028Z - 110130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 294 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...MARGINAL/LOCALIZED SEVERE THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH AND AN ADDITIONAL WW WILL NOT BE NECESSARY BEYOND 02Z
SCHEDULED EXPIRATION.

DISCUSSION...ALTHOUGH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS HAVE
REMAINED ACROSS MIDDLE TN WITHIN A MODEST LOW-LEVEL WAA REGIME...THE
BROADER LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL BE UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
INTENSIFICATION OF UPDRAFTS. ABUNDANT DRY AIR NOTED IN WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER OH VALLEY SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS
SAMPLED WELL BY 00Z BNA/BMX RAOBS WITH LAYERS OF SUBSIDENCE NOTED
BETWEEN 500-600 MB. THIS WILL CONTINUE LIMIT UPDRAFT INTENSITY AND
WITH THE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING...OVERALL SEVERE
THREAT APPEARS MINIMAL.

..GRAMS.. 06/11/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...HUN...

LAT...LON   36058584 36138508 35658529 35048598 34998674 35058765
            35628751 36028676 36058584



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