[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 152035
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152034
KYZ000-TNZ000-160030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0037
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0234 PM CST TUE JAN 15 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...KY...NWRN TN

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 152034Z - 160030Z

SUMMARY...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP NEWD WITHIN A NARROW
SW/NE-ORIENTED CORRIDOR FROM WRN TN ACROSS PARTS OF KY. ICE
ACCUMULATION RATES SHOULD LARGELY HOLD FROM .02-.05 IN/HR.

DISCUSSION...A SWATH OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO FALL ACROSS
THE MID-SOUTH WHERE SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE PREVALENT.
ALTHOUGH THE SURFACE WET BULB FREEZING LINE HAS SLOWLY PROGRESSED
NWD THROUGH THE DAY...ROUGHLY FROM 30 E MKL-BWG-JKL AS OF
20Z...MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN PARTICULARLY POOR AT HANDLING THE
SHALLOW SURFACE-BASED COLD DOME EVIDENT IN THE 18Z BNA RAOB. THIS IS
ILLUSTRATED BY THE 12Z NAM BEING 10 DEG F TOO WARM WITH THE 20Z
SURFACE TEMPERATURE AT HOP AND MINIMAL FREEZING RAIN PROBABILITIES
DEPICTED IN THE 15Z SREF. AS SUCH...ONGOING FREEZING RAIN ACROSS WRN
TN WILL SHIFT PRIMARILY NEWD AND LIKELY AFFECT A HOP-LEX CORRIDOR
THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

..GRAMS.. 01/15/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   38298473 38268431 38098418 37868424 37608464 37218616
            36628731 36098845 36328865 36668834 37308734 37948591
            38298473


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