[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 5 14:14:09 CDT 2012


ACUS11 KWNS 051913
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051913
TNZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-052115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1893
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0213 PM CDT WED SEP 05 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MO...NERN AR...WRN KY AND TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 051913Z - 052115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A FEW CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
FORM OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS FROM SRN MO INTO NRN AR...WITH
LOCALIZED SEVERE HAIL AND WIND.

DISCUSSION...SURFACE MAP SHOWS AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS SRN MO
INTO SRN IL...AND VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SUBSTANTIAL TCU ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY WHERE STRONG HEATING PERSISTS. TALL/MOIST CAPE
PROFILES WITH HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER WILL FAVOR A FEW WET
MICROBURSTS...AND A SOME CELLS MAY PROPAGATE IN A SEWD
DIRECTION...POSSIBLY SHOWING SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS AT TIMES WITH
LARGE HAIL OF 1.00" TO 1.75" DIAMETER.

..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 09/05/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

LAT...LON   35518942 35479162 35709237 36339274 36809257 37099211
            37159144 37349051 37438976 37448918 37328864 36878828
            36348812 35958824 35658837 35518942



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