[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Mar 31 17:01:03 CDT 2012


ACUS11 KWNS 312200
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312200
NCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-312230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0399
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0500 PM CDT SAT MAR 31 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AND SRN TN/NERN MS/NRN AND CENTRAL AL/NRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 121...

VALID 312200Z - 312230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 121
CONTINUES.

A NEW SVR TSTM WATCH IS BEING COORDINATED WITH WFO BHM AND WILL BE
ISSUED SOON TO THE SOUTH OF WW 121.

REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED AN ONGOING CLUSTER OF TSTMS LOCATED
OVER SRN TN AND EXTENDING SWD INTO FAR NERN MS TO FAR NRN GA.  THIS
ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SWD INTO THE EVENING...AND IS
SUGGESTED BY 19Z EXPERIMENTAL WRF-HRRR.  MODERATE INSTABILITY
/MLCAPE 1500-2500 J PER KG/...MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 7-7.5 C/KM AND
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 30-35 KT WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR MIXED MODES
OF MULTICELLS/SUPERCELLS...WITH ATTENDANT THREAT BEING PRIMARY HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS.

..PETERS.. 03/31/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   36158908 35768695 35628520 35728472 35068417 34648418
            33538472 33218605 33108799 34238866 34668865 34428911
            34578967 35108974 35738943 36158908



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