[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 021747
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021746
TNZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-021815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0210
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1146 AM CST FRI MAR 02 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AL...MIDDLE/ERN TN...FAR NWRN GA...FAR SWRN VA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 56...

VALID 021746Z - 021815Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 56 CONTINUES.

RADAR IMAGERY FROM 1740Z SHOWS ONGOING SUPERCELLS PRIMARILY
CONCENTRATED ACROSS MIDDLE TN ATTM...WITH TORNADOES REPORTED IN THE
PAST HR. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TRACKING ENEWD AT AROUND 40
KTS...INTO A PROGRESSIVELY LESS UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT.
HOWEVER...LATEST SFC OBS INDICATE THE AIR MASS IS RECOVERING QUICKLY
WITH TEMPERATURES HEATING AOA 60 DEG F...DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF
WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER. AS THE ENVIRONMENT DESTABILIZES FURTHER...A
CONTINUED THREAT FOR TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DMGG WINDS SHOULD
EXIST DOWNSTREAM FROM THE ONGOING TSTMS.

FARTHER S...TSTMS HAVE MOVED NEWD OUT OF NRN AL...WITH SCT CLOUDS
ALLOWING FOR RAPID AIR MASS RECOVERY...WHILE THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS
STRONGLY SHEARED. A NE-SW ORIENTED COULD BAND /NOTED ON
VISIBLE/...PRESUMABLY CO-LOCATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE
ZONE...COULD PROVIDE FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AS CINH IS WEAK TO NIL. BOTH 14Z WRF-HRRR AND 12Z
WRF-NMM SUPPORT THIS SCENARIO...REDEVELOPING TSTMS AFTER 21Z.

..ROGERS.. 03/02/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   34378447 34208493 34078627 34188730 35098680 36748486
            36808385 36908259 36628237 36038247 35578328 34378447



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
http://www.nashvilleweather.net

Follow us on Facebook at:
http://www.facebook.com/nashvilleweather