[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 040413
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040413
GAZ000-ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-040515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1044
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1113 PM CDT SUN JUN 03 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MS...NRN AL...FAR SRN TN...NWRN GA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 348...

VALID 040413Z - 040515Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 348 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ALTHOUGH THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES APPEARS TO HAVE
DIMINISHED ALONG WITH OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL...ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL SHOULD PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW
HOURS WITH AN E/SEWD EVOLVING MCS ALONG THE TN/MS/AL BORDER AREA.

DISCUSSION...PRIMARY SEVERE RISK EXISTS ON SWRN FLANK OF MCS WHERE
ORIENTATION OF HIGHER REFLECTIVITY MORE NORMAL TO THE NEARLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP-LAYER WLYS WILL FAVOR A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS
AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. GIVEN THE COLD POOL CONFIGURATION...THIS
SHOULD YIELD A MORE SERN PROPAGATION WITH TIME AS THE FEED OF
STRONGER INSTABILITY OCCURS FROM W/SW IN MS. WITH ERN EXTENT...THE
PARALLELING ORIENTATION OF CONVECTION WITH THE DEEP-LAYER FLOW ALONG
WITH WEAKER INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE A SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE RISK
INTO NWRN GA BEYOND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

..GRAMS.. 06/04/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   35108906 35308819 35078712 34978644 34908562 34888526
            34858494 34708469 34438476 34158491 33858564 33768654
            33878750 34028801 34188859 34368909 34738928 35108906



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