[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Jun 3 20:35:04 CDT 2012


ACUS11 KWNS 040134
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040134
TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-040230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1042
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0834 PM CDT SUN JUN 03 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN AR...MO BOOTHEEL...WRN/MIDDLE TN...NRN AL/MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 345...348...

VALID 040134Z - 040230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 345...348...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...PRIMARILY DAMAGING WIND/SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALIZED TORNADO
THREATS ARE LARGELY EVOLVING E/SEWD WITHIN WW 348.  AS SUCH...IT
APPEARS THE VALID PORTION OF WW 345 WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED PRIOR
TO SCHEDULED 04Z WW EXPIRATION.

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL CLUSTERS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES
WERE NOTED WITHIN TSTMS MOVING E/SEWD IN PRIMARILY WW 348. GREATEST
RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO SHOULD EXIST IN
THE NEAR-TERM ACROSS THE NERN AR INTO WRN TN. HERE...A WEAK MESOLOW
WAS NOTED IN 01Z METARS AROUND 25 E JBR AND LOW/MID-LEVEL W/SWLYS
HAVE STRENGTHENED IN TIME-SERIES OF MEMPHIS VWP DATA. FARTHER
E/SE...SPLITTING SUPERCELL STRUCTURES HAVE OCCURRED WITH TSTMS
EXTENDING INTO ERN TN. PRIMARY RISK HERE SHOULD BE SEVERE HAIL...BUT
AS UPSCALE GROWTH CONTINUES...THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS MAY
INCREASE.

..GRAMS.. 06/04/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...LZK...

LAT...LON   35199286 35249166 35629106 36049112 36319125 36569107
            36609036 36478945 36178788 35938709 35728673 35518661
            35028661 34698673 34378695 34448741 34889019 34849265
            35199286

WWWW
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