[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Jul 5 18:21:13 CDT 2012


ACUS11 KWNS 052320
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052320
GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-KYZ000-060115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1413
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0620 PM CDT THU JUL 05 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN...NRN GA...NRN/ERN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 470...471...

VALID 052320Z - 060115Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
470...471...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE ORIGINAL MCS APPEARS TO BE DWINDLING ACROSS ERN
TN...BUT SOME INCREASE IN STORMS MAY CONTINUE ACROSS MIDDLE TN INTO
NERN AL AND NRN GA. HAIL AND WIND ALL POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...THE TN MCS CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT WARMING CLOUD TOPS AS
WELL AS A POOR RADAR PRESENTATION...ALTHOUGH A FEW STRONGER CELLS
REMAIN ALONG THE LEADING GUST FRONT. OF NOTE HAS BEEN THE INCREASE
IN STRONG TO SEVERE CORES TO THE W...IN AN AXIS FROM MIDDLE TN INTO
NERN AL AND NRN GA. THIS GENERAL ZONE APPEARS TO BE MORE UNSTABLE
WITH SEVERAL SEVERE HAIL CORES NOTED.

AS THE DYING MCS INTERACTS WITH THESE AREAS...THERE MAY BE AN
INCREASE IN STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
WEAK WIND CONVERGENCE WAS ALSO NOTED ACROSS NRN GA WHICH MAY FORCE
MORE STRONG TO SEVERE PULSE STORMS.

..JEWELL.. 07/05/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   34998487 33948335 33068328 32458505 32478651 32698674
            34038698 35578740 36368725 36728668 36598604 36078600
            35418570 34998487



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