[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 230237
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230237
ILZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-230400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0051
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0837 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE LOWER/MID-MS VALLEY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 5...6...

VALID 230237Z - 230400Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 5...6...CONTINUES.

NRN/CNTRL PORTIONS OF QLCS FROM SWRN IL INTO NERN AR SHOULD
ACCELERATE E/NEWD WITH PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS. GREATER
TORNADO THREAT SHOULD PERSIST ALONG THE BROKEN SRN PORTION OF THE
LINE ACROSS E-CNTRL/SERN AR EVOLVING ACROSS THE MS RIVER.

AS OF 0230Z...A 450-MI LONG QLCS EXTENDED FROM SWRN IL INTO S-CNTRL
AR. GREATEST RELATIVE SEVERE THREAT EXISTS ALONG THE SRN PORTION OF
THIS LINE WITH A FEW LONG-TRACKED SUPERCELLS NOW PROGRESSING INTO
PARTS OF E-CNTRL/SERN AR. EFFECTIVE SRH WILL REMAIN EXTREME AOA 500
M2/S2 AND WITHIN THE BROADEST WARM SECTOR CHARACTERIZED BY 62-64 F
SURFACE DEW POINTS...POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES REMAINS
HIGH AS ACTIVITY APPROACHES SWRN TN/NWRN MS.

THE SOLID LINEAR STRUCTURE FARTHER N WITHIN A COMPARATIVELY NARROW
SURFACE-BASED WARM SECTOR SHOULD PREDOMINATELY FAVOR DAMAGING WINDS.
ALTHOUGH OBSERVED METAR GUSTS HAVE REMAINED IN THE 35-40 KT RANGE
THUS FAR IN SERN MO/NERN AR...THE ORGANIZED STRUCTURE OF THE LINE
AMIDST STRONG MID-LEVEL DCVA MAY AID IN FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AS
IT CROSSES THE MS RIVER TOWARDS THE LOWER OH VALLEY. FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION FARTHER N OF WW 6...PLEASE SEE MCD 50.

..GRAMS.. 01/23/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LSX...LZK...

LAT...LON   35228948 33519037 33139115 33259203 33399251 36279063
            37708980 38198946 38458862 38528812 38278806 37738827
            35228948



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net