[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 291711
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291711
VAZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-291915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0182
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1111 AM CST WED FEB 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AND MIDDLE TN INTO CNTRL KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 291711Z - 291915Z

A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED PRIOR TO 18Z FOR MUCH OF
TN INTO KY.

A LEADING BROKEN LINE OF STORMS CONTINUES TO AFFECT NWRN TN AND MUCH
OF CNTRL KY WHERE SHEAR REMAINS QUITE FAVORABLE FOR WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES. RECENTLY...NEW DEVELOPMENT WAS
OCCURRING ON THE SWRN END OF THE LINE...WHERE WARM AND MOIST AIR WAS
BEING LIFTED OVER EXISTING OUTFLOW. STRONG SHEAR IS LIKELY TO ACT ON
THIS CONVECTION AS IT CONTINUES EWD OVER MIDDLE TN.

AS THE SURFACE FRONT SHARPENS AND CONTINUES EWD ACROSS THE MS
RIVER...ENHANCED LIFT SHOULD RESULT IN SOME FURTHER REJUVENATION
WITH NEW DEVELOPMENT. OTHER STORMS WILL LIKELY MATERIALIZE WITH TIME
SWWD ALONG THE FRONT INTO SRN AR AND MS...BUT THEY WILL BE FIGHTING
LESS FAVORABLE LAPSE RATES ALOFT WHICH MAY RESULT IN RELATIVELY A
SLOW BUT STEADY RAMP UP OF SEVERE THREAT.

..JEWELL.. 02/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   35678597 34868945 34959067 35509063 35829011 36418892
            36798809 37758564 38228450 38388386 38308315 37898277
            37198272 36698299 36178383 35678597


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