[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Feb 1 19:11:34 CST 2012


ACUS11 KWNS 020111
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020110
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-020245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0090
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0710 PM CST WED FEB 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NRN MS/NWRN AL/SRN MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22...

VALID 020110Z - 020245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22
CONTINUES.

FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED/BOWING LINE OF STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS
CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY ESEWD ACROSS NRN MS ATTM...WITH SOME NEW
STORM DEVELOPMENT ONGOING E AND NE OF THE MAIN LINE -- INTO SRN
MIDDLE TN AND NWRN AL.

OBJECTIVE ANALYSES CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT STORMS ARE MOVING
THROUGH ERN FRINGES OF THE MAIN INSTABILITY AXIS -- WHERE DAYTIME
HEATING WAS MAXIMIZED THIS AFTERNOON.  MEANWHILE...A MUCH
COOLER/MORE STABLE AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE FARTHER E... ACROSS
MIDDLE TN AND NRN AL.

WITH ELEVATED CAPE SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW A CONTINUATION OF CONVECTION
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT OF NRN
MS AND INTO/ACROSS NRN AL AND SRN MIDDLE TN.  HOWEVER...WITH A
PROGRESSIVELY MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AND STEADILY DECREASING
INSTABILITY WITH EWD EXTENT...SEVERE THREAT SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH
-- AND THUS IT APPEARS THAT AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY NOT BE REQUIRED.

..GOSS.. 02/02/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   32799041 33009055 33318963 33878921 34368928 34788815
            34928800 35438756 35558671 33898686 32728803 32799041



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