[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Apr 26 06:25:42 CDT 2012


ACUS11 KWNS 261125
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261124
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-261300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0589
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0624 AM CDT THU APR 26 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE/EASTERN TN AND FAR SOUTHEAST KY TO WESTERN
PORTIONS OF VA/NC/SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 189...

VALID 261124Z - 261300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 189
CONTINUES.

AN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD MOVING MCS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A SEVERE
HAIL/DAMAGING WIND THREAT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. AN ADDITIONAL
WATCH MAY BE NEEDED TO THE EAST OF WW 189 ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN
VA/NC/SC.

AFOREMENTIONED QUASI-LINEAR MCS CONTINUES TO MAKE A STEADY
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD FORWARD PROGRESSION AT AROUND 50 KT ACROSS
EASTERN TN AND ADJACENT SOUTHEAST KY/EXTREME WESTERN VA AS OF 1115Z.
THIS SYSTEM HAS REMAINED VERY WELL ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT WITH AN MCV
AND MCS-TRAILING WEAK ECHO CHANNEL/REAR INFLOW JET EVIDENT IN
OBSERVATIONAL DATA. EVEN WHILE THIS MCS WILL TEND TO OUTRUN THE
PRIMARY WESTERLY FEED OF UNSTABLE AIR/STEEP LAPSE RATES...THE
EXISTING ORGANIZATION OF THE MCS/ITS FORWARD MOMENTUM WILL LIKELY AT
LEAST MAINTAIN A SPORADIC SEVERE HAIL/WIND THREAT TOWARD THE SPINE
OF THE APPALACHIANS. PENDING SHORT-TERM TRENDS...AN ADDITIONAL WATCH
COULD BE NEEDED SOON FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF VA/CAROLINAS.

..GUYER.. 04/26/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...

LAT...LON   36758399 37318331 37258181 36628092 36048078 35128173
            34888325 35178510 36158610 36658570 36758399


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