[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 041916
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041915
VAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-042015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2122
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0215 PM CDT SUN SEP 04 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WV / WRN VA / WRN MD

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 041915Z - 042015Z

THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DAMAGING
WINDS AND HAIL WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.
A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

RECENT TRENDS IN VISIBLE SATELLITE AND RADAR DATA INDICATE TSTMS
INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVER THE APPALACHIANS WHERE
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S AND DEW POINTS IN THE 60S ARE YIELDING
MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-2000 J/KG.  FURTHER HEATING/DESTABILIZATION
ACROSS THE ELEVATED TERRAIN SHOULD FOSTER ADDITIONAL STORM
DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON WITH ACTIVITY
GENERALLY MOVING NEWD WITHIN DEEP-LAYER SWLY WIND FIELD.  THE
PRESENCE OF STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...THOUGH THE MARGINAL MAGNITUDE OF
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL LIMIT STORM ORGANIZATION AND OVERALL SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT.

..MEAD.. 09/04/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...MRX...JKL...

LAT...LON   36698244 37698190 39188079 39637989 39717896 39507849
            38957831 38487840 37257981 36758070 36568154 36698244



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net