[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Nov 8 18:44:09 CST 2011


ACUS11 KWNS 090043
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090043
TNZ000-ARZ000-090145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2307
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0643 PM CST TUE NOV 08 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL THROUGH ERN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 090043Z - 090145Z

BAND OF STORMS FROM SWRN THROUGH S-CNTRL AR HAS RECENTLY SHOWN AN
INCREASE IN INTENSITY. CONCERN IS THAT SEVERE THREAT MAY PERSIST
ANOTHER FEW HOURS AND EXTEND INTO CNTRL AND ERN AR. AREA IS BEING
MONITORED FOR A TORNADO WATCH.

STORMS JUST WEST OF LITTLE ROCK HAVE SHOWN AN INCREASE IN INTENSITY.
STORMS WILL BE MOVING EWD INTO A REGION WHERE THE LLJ WILL UNDERGO
AN INCREASE TONIGHT RESULTING IN LARGE HODOGRAPHS. WEAK INSTABILITY
COULD SERVE AS A POTENTIAL LIMITING FACTOR...BUT MAY NOT DECREASE
FAST ENOUGH TO RULE OUT A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY
GIVEN PERSISTENT THETA-E ADVECTION ALONG THE LLJ.

..DIAL.. 11/09/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...

LAT...LON   35189018 34629158 34809268 35739175 35919006 35189018

WWWW
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