[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu May 26 15:37:11 CDT 2011


ACUS11 KWNS 262036
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262036
VAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-262200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0986
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0336 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN VA...ERN TN...WRN NC/SC...GA/AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 379...384...

VALID 262036Z - 262200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
379...384...CONTINUES.

WW 379 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 22Z...WITH A SEVERE THREAT LIKELY
PERSISTING BEYOND THIS TIME FRAME IN PORTIONS OF THE VALID WW. THE
SPC HAS/WILL COORDINATE WITH AFFECTED WFOS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF --
1. A REPLACEMENT WW ACROSS PORTIONS OF WRN NC/SC AND SWRN VA -- 2.
REDEFINITION INTO WW 384 IN NRN GA AND -- 3. TEMPORAL EXTENSION OF
WW 379 IN AL.

PRIMARY THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND SEVERE HAIL SHOULD
EXIST ALONG AND EAST OF A SW TO NE ORIENTED BROKEN BAND OF TSTMS
FROM E-CNTRL AL INTO FAR ERN TN...AND AHEAD OF AN EVOLVING MCS/COLD
POOL ACROSS E-CNTRL/SERN AL. INCIPIENT TSTM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS
IMMINENT BETWEEN THESE TWO ZONES ACROSS CNTRL GA...WITH A BROAD
SWATH OF TSTM CONGLOMERATION PROBABLE THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

FARTHER WEST...TSTM REDEVELOPMENT HAS OCCURRED ALONG COLD
FRONT/PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE AXES FROM PORTIONS OF ERN TN INTO
W-CNTRL AL. GIVEN THE LIKELIHOOD OF OVERTURNING/STABILIZATION FROM
ABUNDANT ONGOING/EARLIER TSTM ACTIVITY...ANY SEVERE THREAT HERE
SHOULD BE MARGINAL/LOCALIZED IN TIME/SPACE.

..GRAMS.. 05/26/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...FFC...TAE...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   31438491 32368554 33558651 33898648 34328612 34918435
            36048319 37018268 37148225 37018179 36528135 36128118
            35398168 34448263 32958335 31928387 31468436 31438491


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