[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed May 25 14:57:14 CDT 2011


ACUS11 KWNS 251956
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251956
TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-MSZ000-252130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0960
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN AR...MO BOOTHEEL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 371...

VALID 251956Z - 252130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 371 CONTINUES.

...THREAT INCREASING FOR DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LONG-TRACK/STRONG TORNADOES ACROSS WW 371...

INITIAL DISCRETE SUPERCELL THAT PROGRESSED ACROSS SHARP COUNTY AR
HAS RECENTLY SHIFTED INTO SERN MO. ADDITIONAL DISCRETE CELLS ARE
FORMING SW OF THIS TSTM WITHIN A CONFLUENCE AXIS THAT STRETCHED
TOWARDS TXK. ENVIRONMENT ACROSS CNTRL/ERN AR IS EXTREMELY CONDUCIVE
TO RAPID SUPERCELL EVOLUTION. MODIFIED 18Z LZK RAOB SUGGESTS MLCAPE
HAS NOW REACHED 3500 TO 4000 J/KG WITH 0-1 KM SHEAR AROUND 30 KT.
LARGE HODOGRAPHS...STRONG INSTABILITY AND A DISCRETE CONVECTIVE MODE
WILL ALL REMAIN HIGHLY FAVORABLE FOR LONG-TRACKED SUPERCELLS
PRODUCING STRONG TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL.

..GRAMS.. 05/25/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...SGF...SHV...

LAT...LON   33839355 35199245 35859225 36349204 36559172 36569061
            36328976 36058976 34699058 33899113 33579155 33519220
            33549302 33839355


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