[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue May 24 14:34:31 CDT 2011


ACUS11 KWNS 241934
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241933
NCZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-242100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0931
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0233 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN VA...NRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 354...355...357...

VALID 241933Z - 242100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
354...355...357...CONTINUES.

WW 354 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 21Z. COORDINATION WITH WFO RNK AND
ADJACENT WFOS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 20-21Z TO DISCUSS THE NEED FOR WW
REPLACEMENT OR TEMPORAL EXTENSION OF THE EXISTING WW.

WELL-DEFINED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY REMAINS REFLECTED IN VISIBLE SATELLITE
AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS TRAILING WEST TO EAST IN THE WAKE OF AN
INITIAL MCS PROGRESSING ACROSS SERN VA/FAR NERN NC. ROBUST TSTM
DEVELOPMENT HAS RECENTLY OCCURRED JUST N OF THIS BOUNDARY WHERE
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE/UPSLOPE IS MAXIMIZED IN FAR NWRN NC. THIS
ACTIVITY ALONG WITH NUMEROUS UPSTREAM CLUSTERS WITHIN WW 357 WILL
LIKELY POSE A CONTINUED RISK FOR PRIMARILY SEVERE WIND/HAIL GIVEN
THE DEGREE OF HEATING /TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 80S TO LOWER 90S/
THAT HAS TAKEN PLACE TO THE S OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.

..GRAMS.. 05/24/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...

LAT...LON   36638378 36948344 37038213 36857823 36987672 36877626
            36597614 36317628 35867711 35747795 35657897 35658012
            35738073 35818156 36018232 36278315 36638378


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