[BNAWX] Severe Local Storm Watch and Watch Cancellation

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun May 22 07:07:34 CDT 2011


WWUS20 KWNS 221206
SEL1
SPC WW 221206
ARZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-221900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 321
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
705 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTH-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
       FAR NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
       WESTERN TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 705 AM UNTIL 200
PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF HOT SPRINGS ARKANSAS TO 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF TUPELO
MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...ON THE NOSE OF A MODERATELY STRONG LOW LEVEL
JET...ELEVATED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO EXPAND
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS AR INTO NORTHERN MS/WESTERN TN THROUGH THE
MORNING. THE 12Z OBSERVED RAOB FROM LITTLE ROCK WAS INDICATIVE OF
STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT/AMPLE ELEVATED INSTABILITY...WHICH WILL BE
SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE HAIL THIS MORNING. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME OF
THESE STORMS MAY REMAIN SUSTAINED AND BECOME SURFACE BASED BY LATE
THIS MORNING/MIDDAY...WITH INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS IN ADDITION TO SEVERE HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...GUYER/CORFIDI


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