[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue May 10 17:03:24 CDT 2011


ACUS11 KWNS 102203
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102202
NCZ000-SCZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-102300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0713
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0502 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NC...SC...ERN TN...WRN VA...SRN WV

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 269...

VALID 102202Z - 102300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 269
CONTINUES.

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF
WW269...PRIMARILY ALONG THE NC/SC BORDER.  THIS ACTIVITY HAS EVOLVED
WITHIN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS THAT IS MORE THAN ENOUGH
SHEARED TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED ROTATING UPDRAFTS.  ONE OR MORE MINOR
DISTURBANCES MAY BE EMBEDDED WITHIN DEEP NWLY FLOW FROM THE OH
VALLEY INTO THE CAROLINAS...HOWEVER WEAK WARM ADVECTION MAY
PARTIALLY EXPLAIN THE ELONGATED ZONE OF CONVECTION THAT STRETCHES
NW-SE ALONG THE FRONT SIDE OF RIDGE AXIS.  GIVEN THE BROADER ZONE OF
WARM ADVECTION AND MOIST/BUOYANT NWLY INFLOW...IT APPEARS NEW
CONVECTION MAY EVOLVE UPSTREAM WELL INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

..DARROW.. 05/10/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...RLX...CAE...GSP...
MRX...JKL...

LAT...LON   35888382 37848195 34517761 32557942 35888382


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