[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 232048
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232048
VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-232145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0261
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0348 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN...NRN SC...NC...VA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 56...

VALID 232048Z - 232145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 56 CONTINUES.

A SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DEVELOP EWD ACROSS WRN-CNTRL NC AND SRN VA
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE STRONGER CELLS. A WW IS BEING CONSIDERED FOR THE AREA AND
MAY BE ISSUED LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM FAR WRN VA SWWD
INTO ERN TN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD ACROSS THE SRN APPALACHIAN
MTNS THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE ATMOSPHERE IN THE SRN APPALACHIANS
IS ONLY WEAKLY UNSTABLE...DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD CONTINUE TO
STRENGTHEN AS AN 80 TO 95 KT MID-LEVEL JET APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
THIS COMBINED WITH COLD TEMPS ALOFT WILL PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR A HAIL
THREAT WITH THE MORE INTENSE CORES. AS THE MID-LEVEL JET MOVES INTO
THE REGION FROM THE WEST...BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW IS ALSO FORECAST TO
INCREASE AS A 40 TO 50 KT LOW-LEVEL JET DEVELOPS. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH
FOR AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE THREAT ESPECIALLY IF THE STORMS CAN
ORGANIZE INTO A LINE.

..BROYLES.. 03/23/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...MRX...

LAT...LON   34638080 34788266 35118405 35568406 35998329 37038038
            37787913 37317742 36117782 35457852 34638080


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