[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 141804
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141804
SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-142000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1614
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0104 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN GA...CNTRL/NRN AL...NERN MS...SWRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 141804Z - 142000Z

THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG AN INSTABILITY AXIS EXTENDING
FROM SRN GA NWWD INTO SWRN TN.  GIVEN THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THE
DAMAGING WIND THREAT...A WW IS UNLIKELY.

VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS /MLCAPE VALUES AOA 3000 J/KG/ HAVE
DEVELOPED OVER THIS REGION IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG INSOLATION AND
SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE MID-TO-UPPER 70S.  GIVEN THE VERY WEAK FLOW
AT ALL LEVELS...HOWEVER...STORM ORGANIZATION IS UNLIKELY.  SOME
THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS FROM ISOLATED WET MICROBURSTS MAY EXIST
WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS...ESPECIALLY INTO NRN MS/AL WHERE SLIGHTLY
DRIER MIDLEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY.

..JIRAK.. 07/14/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...OHX...BMX...HUN...MOB...
MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   34678956 35118962 35488965 35708940 35868907 35978856
            35958811 35838779 35768767 35648745 35388727 34958687
            34508644 34328607 34148579 33688513 33528478 33298424
            32988352 32778289 32678249 32658215 32738170 32718151
            32528125 32288121 32198107 32078110 31978107 31928106
            31858113 31718124 31508138 31338154 31148179 31028211
            30928262 30888302 30948362 31108428 31388521 31548572
            31748623 31848676 31978697 32178736 32608796 34678956


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