[BNAWX] Special Weather Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WWUS84 KOHX 242126
SPSOHX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
326 PM CST MON JAN 24 2011

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-250300-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CLARKSVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...
GALLATIN...LAFAYETTE...CELINA...BYRDSTOWN...CAMDEN...ERIN...
WAVERLY...DICKSON...ASHLAND CITY...NASHVILLE...LEBANON...
MOUNT JULIET...HARTSVILLE...CARTHAGE...GAINESBORO...COOKEVILLE...
LIVINGSTON...JAMESTOWN...LOBELVILLE...CENTERVILLE...HOHENWALD...
FRANKLIN...BRENTWOOD...COLUMBIA...LEWISBURG...MURFREESBORO...
WOODBURY...SMITHVILLE...SPARTA...CROSSVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...
TULLAHOMA...MANCHESTER...MCMINNVILLE...ALTAMONT...SPENCER...
WAYNESBORO...LAWRENCEBURG...PULASKI
326 PM CST MON JAN 24 2011

...ACCUMULATING SNOWS LIKELY FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE
INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT...SPREADING PRECIPITATION
NORTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. PRECIPITATION WILL COMMENCE
LATE TONIGHT IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE IN THE FORM OF LIGHT RAIN MIXING
WITH LIGHT SNOW...ESPECIALLY NORTHERN AREAS AND CONTINUE INTO
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN TRANSITION
INTO ALL RAIN BY LATE MORNING ON TUESDAY...BUT SWITCH BACK TO A
RAIN AND SNOW MIX TUESDAY EVENING.

ALL SNOW IS EXPECTED FROM LATE TUESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY. SNOW
WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY FROM THE WEST AS
THE LOW PULLS NORTHEASTWARD UP THE EAST COAST.

NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER
AN ACCUMULATING SNOW OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS LIKELY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...
WITH ANOTHER INCH POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY EASTERN AREAS
AND PLATEAU. HEAVIER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...OF 4 INCHES OR MORE...ARE
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION WITH THIS EVENT.

SO FAR THIS SEASON WE HAVE HAD FAIRLY HIGH CONFIDENCE ON OUR SNOW
EVENT FORECASTS...BUT WEATHER PATTERNS HAVE CHANGED...AND CONFIDENCE
IS NOT AS HIGH FOR THIS EVENT IN TERMS OF SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.
NEVERTHELESS...RECENT COMPUTER MODEL FORECASTS HAVE BECOME MORE IN
AGREEMENT...AND IF THIS TREND CONTINUES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...CONFIDENCE
IN SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL IMPROVE.

SO FAR THIS WINTER SEASON NASHVILLE HAS HAD FOUR SNOW EVENTS WITH
A TOTAL OF 9.3 INCHES OF SNOW. THIS HAS BEEN THE SNOWIEST WINTER
SINCE 15.1 INCHES FELL DURING THE WINTER SEASON OF 2002 AND 2003.
THE SNOWIEST WINTER ON RECORD WAS BACK IN 1959 AND 1960 WHEN 38.5
INCHES OF SNOW FELL.

$$

BOYD




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