[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Apr 27 06:26:20 CDT 2011


ACUS11 KWNS 271126
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271125
MSZ000-TNZ000-ARZ000-271230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0616
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0625 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AR...NRN/CNTRL MS...SWRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 271125Z - 271230Z

THE THREAT FOR SVR STORMS WILL SHIFT E-NEWD FROM CNTRL AR AND NRN
LA...AND A SVR TSTM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED TO THE EAST OF WW226.

ELEVATED CONVECTION CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL WILL SHIFT
E-NEWD OUT OF WW226 OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. STEEP MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND CONTINUED STRONG ASCENT WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUING
THREAT FOR SVR STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AS THIS ACTIVITY APPROACHES
THE MID-SOUTH. A SVR TSTM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SHORTLY TO THE EAST OF
WW226. FARTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS CNTRL MS NORTH OF TORNADO
WATCH 225...STORMS WILL INITIALLY BE ELEVATED POSING A LARGE HAIL
THREAT. HOWEVER...AS SFC-BASED CONVECTIVE INHIBITION DECREASES WITH
TIME AFTER SUNRISE...THE THREAT WILL EVENTUALLY TRANSITION TO A
TORNADO THREAT BY LATE MORNING.

..COHEN.. 04/27/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   34498834 33758838 32818845 32688948 32799027 33039077
            33509104 33849175 34219249 34899275 35639230 35859098
            35728981 35228859 34498834



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