[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 232209
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232209
KYZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-240015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0539
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0509 PM CDT SAT APR 23 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/SERN MO INTO SRN IL/WRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 232209Z - 240015Z

STORMS SHOULD PERSIST FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS ACROSS SRN MO...MOVING
EWD ACROSS THE MS RIVER BY EVENING WITH MAINLY A HAIL THREAT. A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A BOUNDARY ACROSS NRN AR INTO SWRN KY...WITH
RAIN COOLED AIR TO THE N. HOWEVER...A SWLY LOW LEVEL JET IS
RESULTING IN ISENTROPIC LIFT N OF THE BOUNDARY. DEEP LAYER WIND
FIELDS WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR ORGANIZED SEVERE...AND THE MAIN THREAT
SHOULD BE HAIL GIVEN A RELATIVELY STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.
HOWEVER...AREAS ALONG THE SURFACE BOUNDARY COULD SEE POTENTIALLY
STRONG/DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS FAR NRN AR...THE MO BOOTHEEL INTO SWRN
KY/FAR SRN IL IF CONVECTION TO THE WEST CAN CONGEAL INTO AN MCS.

..JEWELL.. 04/23/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

LAT...LON   36778763 36318940 36149090 36239242 36459342 36989357
            37589272 37719140 37838946 37888841 37788772 37408729
            37038733 36778763


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