[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 200108
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200107
INZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-MSZ000-200230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0479
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0807 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN/E-CNTRL MO...CNTRL/SRN IL...CNTRL/NRN
IND...WRN KY...FAR WRN TN...CNTRL/ERN AR

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 154...157...

VALID 200107Z - 200230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 154...157...CONTINUES.

THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE MODE IS EVOLVING TOWARD QUASILINEAR
CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS OVER TORNADO WATCHES 154 AND 157. ONE BOWING LINE
SEGMENT IS APPROACHING WRN AND SRN IND...WITH STRONG FORWARD
PROPAGATION FAVORING FORWARD SPEEDS OF 45 TO 50 KT. THIS WILL TAKE
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS NORTH OF THE INDIANAPOLIS AREA BETWEEN
02Z AND 03Z. FARTHER SOUTH...A SEPARATE BOWING SEGMENT WILL CONTINUE
TRACKING EWD ACROSS NERN AR/SERN MO/SRN IL...AND EVENTUALLY REACH
WRN KY AFTER 03Z. WITH BOTH BOWING SEGMENTS...DMGG WINDS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY CONCERN...AND STRONG LOW-LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL LIKELY
SUSTAIN THE THREAT FOR MESOVORTICES AND ATTENDANT TORNADOES. THE
THREAT FOR DMGG COULD EXTEND INTO NRN IND AS THE UNSTABLE SECTOR
EXTENDS NWD...AND A WW MAY BECOME REQUIRED IN THIS AREA.

..COHEN.. 04/20/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...IWX...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...MEG...LSX...
LZK...SGF...

LAT...LON   36049125 36449106 36629156 36589215 36649257 37539149
            39128978 40078848 40588718 41148667 41318597 41178535
            40728505 40078516 39998527 38618696 37128806 35888931
            34439084 33879179 33929299 35559165 36049125



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