[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon May 24 11:52:01 CDT 2010


ACUS11 KWNS 241651
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241651
KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-241745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0689
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1151 AM CDT MON MAY 24 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IL/WRN KY AND TN/NERN AR/SERN MO/NRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 241651Z - 241745Z

CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ISOLATED
STRONG TO SEVERE PULSE STORMS CAPABLE OF DMGG WINDS AND HAIL. DUE TO
ISOLATED NATURE...A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG A WEAK SURFACE
BOUNDARY THAT HAS LINGERED OVER THE AREA. HOT TEMPERATURES AND DEW
POINTS IN THE 70S COMBINED WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT HAS LED TO A
VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
IN THE MID MS VALLEY...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT SWD INTO MS LATER
IN THE DAY. ALTHOUGH FLOW/SHEAR IS WEAK...GIVEN COOL TEMPERATURES
ALOFT AND STEEP LAPSE RATES...STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
DMGG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

..HURLBUT.. 05/24/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   34528901 33978932 34139046 34919101 35969070 37648972
            38068882 37478768 35818797 34528901



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