[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 151810
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151809
NCZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-152015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0574
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0109 PM CDT SAT MAY 15 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE AND ERN TN THROUGH NRN GA AND WRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 151809Z - 152015Z

THE STRONGER STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS TN INTO NRN GA AND WRN NC WILL
REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG
WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR
A POSSIBLE WW.

EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...SCATTERED STORMS HAVE INCREASED IN COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY OVER THE TN VALLEY AREA WHERE DESTABILIZATION OF THE
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AND 6.5-7 C/KM MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE
CONTRIBUTING TO 1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE. SHORTWAVE RIDGING IS IN
PLACE...AND THE UPPER FLOW IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG WITH GENERALLY
30-35 KT 0-6 KM SHEAR. THIS WIND PROFILE WILL SUPPORT MOSTLY
MULTICELLS...BUT OCCASIONAL MID-LEVEL UPDRAFT ROTATION WITH MARGINAL
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.
PRIMARY THREAT APPEARS TO BE LARGE HAIL...BUT ISOLATED STRONG TO
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

..DIAL.. 05/15/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   36438819 36838601 36328338 35788225 34948287 34298430
            34978696 35198933 36438819


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