[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 012205
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012204
TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-012300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0448
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0504 PM CDT SAT MAY 01 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS/AL AND SRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 012204Z - 012300Z

ROTATING STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF NRN MS/AL AND
SRN TN. ALTHOUGH A LOCAL TIME EXTENSION HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
WW124...THE AREA WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE NEW WW.

UPPER WAVES NOTED ON WV IMAGERY IN CNTRL MS AND OVER MUCH OF TN THAT
INFLUENCED CURRENT CONVECTION ARE QUICKLY MOVING NEWD...WITH
SUBSIDENCE IN THEIR WAKE. THIS MAY LIMIT MORE ROBUST CONVECTION OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...HIGHER THETA-E AIR TO THE SOUTH WILL
CONTINUE TO FEED INTO CURRENT CONVECTION...WITH AREA VAD WIND
PROFILE DATA INDICATING AMPLE LOW LEVEL HELICITY /0-3 KM 400-550
M2/S2 / TO SUPPORT ROTATING STORMS CAPABLE OF DMGG WINDS AND ISOLD
TORNADOES. AS UPPER RIDGING QUICKLY PROGRESSES EWD...CONVECTION MAY
BECOME MORE INTENSE AS THE NEXT UPPER DISTURBANCE APPROACHES...AND
AS THE LOW LEVEL JET BEGINS TO INCREASE THIS EVENING. CHARACTER OF
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED...WITH A WW BECOMING LIKELY
SHOULD MORE ORGANIZATION BE NOTED.

..HURLBUT.. 05/01/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   33248795 32718910 32959007 33919057 34729041 35538969
            35508842 35488789 35678547 35558459 35028466 34368613
            33548718 33248795



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