[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Jun 17 16:39:37 CDT 2010


ACUS11 KWNS 172140
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172139
GAZ000-ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-172245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0992
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0439 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AND MIDDLE TN...NRN AND CNTRL AL/GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 332...

VALID 172139Z - 172245Z

THREAT FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS CONTINUES FOR WW332. AN ADDITIONAL THREAT
MAY DEVELOP IN PORTIONS OF NRN AND CNTRL AL/GA. THESE AREAS ARE
BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.

OUTFLOW FROM EARLIER CONVECTION STRETCHES WNWWD FROM ROUGHLY AROUND
ATLANTA TO NEAR MEMPHIS. CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE ALONG
THIS FAVORED AREA OF SURFACE CONVERGENCE...AHEAD OF A VORT MAX
MOVING INTO NWRN GA THAT IS PROVIDING SUBTLE FORCING FOR ASCENT.
NWRN GA COMPLEX IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION ON VISIBLE
IMAGERY...AND MAY CONTINUE TO TRACK ESEWD TOWARD GREATER INSTABILITY
AS A WEAK MCS. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR W OF HERE ALONG THE
AFOREMENTIONED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT SHOULD
INHIBIT LARGE HAIL PRODUCTION...WITH ISOLD DMGG WINDS ANTICIPATED TO
BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

TO THE N IN TN...COMPLEX OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE ESEWD AS WELL...THOUGH MAY BEGIN TO
GRADUALLY MOVE IN A MORE SSELY DIRECTION TOWARD GREATER INSTABILITY
ALONG AND S OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS NRN AL. CONVECTION MAY
APPROACH THE EDGE OF THE WW WITHIN THE NEXT 2 HOURS...AND A WW
DOWNSTREAM MAY BECOME NECESSARY.

..HURLBUT.. 06/17/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   34558820 35458867 35798803 35768739 34998662 34338603
            34268530 34498437 34108387 33448412 33278492 33228600
            33748725 34378786 34558820



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