[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 151711
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151711
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-151915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0954
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1211 PM CDT TUE JUN 15 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...THE TN VALLEY SWD/SEWD INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 151711Z - 151915Z

WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA WILL
INCLUDE ISOLATED PULSE-TYPE SEVERE STORMS.  WATCH APPEARS UNLIKELY
ATTM...UNLESS STORMS CAN GROW UPSCALE/ORGANIZE LOCALLY.

LATEST SURFACE/OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATE A VERY MOIST/WARMING
BOUNDARY LAYER...WITH MIXED-LAYER CAPE NOW IN EXCESS OF 2500 J/KG
ACROSS MOST OF THE MID SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST.  CU FIELD CONTINUES TO
INCREASE -- INCLUDING SCATTERED TCU/CB DEVELOPMENT MAINLY OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN FROM WRN NC SWWD INTO NRN AL.

WHILE FLOW REMAINS WEAK ACROSS THIS ENTIRE AREA...VERY
MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL SUPPORT OCCASIONAL/ISOLATED VIGOROUS
PULSE-TYPE STORMS...CAPABLE OF BRIEFLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS AND
MARGINAL HAIL ACROSS A LARGE GEOGRAPHIC AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

..GOSS.. 06/15/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...
OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   32418887 32868965 33888890 35858878 36928766 37658412
            36878171 36737973 35577986 34558205 33638345 32828673
            32418887


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