[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Jun 3 17:21:02 CDT 2010


ACUS11 KWNS 032221
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032220
KYZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-032315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0789
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0520 PM CDT THU JUN 03 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN AR / WRN TO MIDDLE TN / S-CNTRL KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 252...

VALID 032220Z - 032315Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 252
CONTINUES.

THE THREAT FOR ISOLD LARGE HAIL/DMGG WINDS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE
FOR THE HOUR OR TWO ALONG AND S OF ONGOING TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF
NERN AR AND EXTENDING NEWD INTO WRN TN AND S-CNTRL KY EITHER SIDE OF
THE CURRENT TSTM BAND.

RECENT SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT A PREFRONTAL LOW LEVEL
CONFLUENCE ZONE HAS LEAD TO A WSW TO ENE ORIENTED BROKEN BAND OF
STORMS.  SEVERAL SURGING CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES EVIDENT ON
RADAR ARE INDICATIVE OF THE WEAK SHEAR ENVIRONMENT.  THEREFORE...A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS IN THE PROCESS OF BEING CONVECTIVELY
OVERTURNED INVOF THE ONGOING TSTM BAND AND THIS SHOULD LEAD TO A
GENERAL DECREASE IN OVERALL ROBUST TSTM COVERAGE/INTENSITY IN THE
NEXT HOUR OR SO.

..SMITH.. 06/03/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   35179094 35688982 36928782 37248604 36848573 36238608
            35228850 34559090 35179094


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