[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 051755
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051755
VAZ000-WVZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-052200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0100
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 AM CST FRI FEB 05 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WV...PARTS OF WRN VA AND FAR NWRN NC

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 051755Z - 052200Z

LIGHT SNOW OR RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND FZRA
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. FZRA RATES OF 0.05 INCHES PER THREE HOURS ARE
EXPECTED FROM SERN WV INTO PARTS OF WRN VA AND FAR NWRN NC.

AS OF 17Z...SFC OBS WERE INDICATING A VARIETY OF PRECIP TYPES FROM
LIGHT SNOW...TO FZRA TO PLAIN RAIN. SFC ANALYSIS INDICATED COLD AIR
DAMMING ALONG THE ERN SLOPES OF THE APPALACHIANS. TEMPERATURES
RANGED FROM JUST ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS NWRN NC TO JUST BELOW
FREEZING OVER SERN WV. UPSTREAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWED STRONG
WAA...EVIDENT BY A DEEP WARM NOSE OF NEARLY 10 DEGREES C FROM AROUND
850 MB TO 680 MB. A LLJ OF NEARLY 50 KTS...EVIDENT IN VWP
DATA...WILL ADVECT THIS WARM LAYER NWD THIS AFTERNOON AND TRANSITION
RAIN AND SNOW TO SLEET AND FZRA.

..STOPPKOTTE.. 02/05/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...

LAT...LON   36638178 37298169 37898128 38238087 38348051 37938003
            37717969 37517934 37257922 36717974 36488014 36328069
            36238104 36268151 36408170 36638178

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