[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 010136
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010136
ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-010230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0432
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0836 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL-SRN IL/SERN MO/FAR WRN KY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 115...

VALID 010136Z - 010230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 115 CONTINUES.

NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF SERN MO/PARTS
OF FAR WRN KY NWD INTO CENTRAL IL.

REGIONAL RADARS SHOWED THE STRONGEST STORMS ACROSS THE SERN EXTENT
OF WW 115...WITH CURRENT TRACK KEEPING THIS STORM WITHIN THE ERN
EXTENT OF THIS WATCH BEYOND THE 03Z EXPIRATION TIME.  ADDITIONAL
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS...SOME WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING
TORNADOES...LOCATED WITHIN WW 116 WILL TRACK NEWD INTO THE SERN MO
AND SWRN IL BETWEEN 02-06Z.

MODERATE INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH STRONG EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR /50
KT/ AND EFFECTIVE SRH 300-400 M2/S2 ARE VERY FAVORABLE TO MAINTAIN A
THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES AS ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO
DEVELOP AND SPREAD NEWD.

..PETERS.. 05/01/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...

LAT...LON   37379116 38399105 39359031 40038959 40338844 39338807
            38238825 36858870 36548888 36478983 37019034 37379116

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