[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 082204
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082203
WVZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-SCZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-GAZ000-082330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0766
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0503 PM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN PORTIONS OF KY/TN INTO WV/NORTH GA AND
WESTERN PORTIONS OF VA/NC/SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 082203Z - 082330Z

MONITORING FOR ONE OR MORE ADDITIONAL WATCHES TO THE EAST/SOUTH OF
EXISTING WATCHES 268/271...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF WV/PERHAPS EXTREME
SOUTHERN OH AND FAR NORTH GA INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF VA/NC/SC.

THE BRUNT OF A LONG LIVED/HIGHLY ORGANIZED MCS CONTINUES TO STEADILY
RACE EASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN KY AS OF 2145Z...WITH
SOUTHERN-PERIPHERAL QUASI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLULAR STORMS ACROSS FAR
SOUTHEAST KY/EASTERN TN. ON THE SOUTHEAST PERIPHERY OF TORNADO WATCH
271...WITHIN A WEAKLY CAPPED/SOUTHWESTERLY WARM ADVECTION
REGIME...THERE IS A CONCERN FOR THE AFOREMENTIONED QUASI-DISCRETE
STORM/SUPERCELL MODE TO POSE A SEVERE HAIL/TORNADO RISK TO THE EAST
OF WW 271...SUCH THAT AN ADDITIONAL WATCH COULD BE NEEDED INTO THE
WESTERN PORTIONS OF NC/SC/WESTERN VA. FARTHER NORTH...INSTABILITY
BECOMES MUCH MORE MODEST ACROSS FAR EASTERN KY INTO WV...BUT THE
HIGHLY ORGANIZED NATURE OF THE BOW/COMMA HEAD AND PARENT MCV...ALONG
WITH FAST STORM MOTIONS AMIDST STRENGTHENING LOW TO MID TROPOSPHERIC
FLOW PER REGIONAL WSR-88D VWP/S WITH 50+ KT AT H5...WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT AT LEAST AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND/HAIL RISK INTO WV/FAR
WESTERN VA THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

..GUYER.. 05/08/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...ILN...OHX...

LAT...LON   36458483 36878397 38148365 38848254 38938233 38718122
            38048073 36378096 35018200 34678331 34828427 35668481
            36458483

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