[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed May 6 22:45:30 CDT 2009


ACUS11 KWNS 070345
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070344
NCZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-070515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0739
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1044 PM CDT WED MAY 06 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN TN/FAR NORTH GA INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF
NC/SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 070344Z - 070515Z

ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS MAY DEVELOP EASTWARD
OVERNIGHT ACROSS FAR EASTERN TN/NORTH GA INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS
OF NC/SC.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FEATURES A POTENT/COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROUGH
CROSSING KY/TN EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT. DEEP LAYER ASCENT TIED TO
THIS FEATURE IS CONTRIBUTING TO A CORRIDOR OF SCATTERED TSTMS ACROSS
MIDDLE/EASTERN TN AND THE ADJACENT PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AL/NORTHWEST
GA AS OF 0330Z. THE 00Z OBSERVED RAOB FROM NASHVILLE IMPLIED AS MUCH
AS 750 J/KG OF MUCAPE...ALTHOUGH MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES HAVE LIKELY
STEEPENED SINCE EARLY THIS EVENING OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED MID
LEVEL TROUGH/UPPER COLD POCKET. MODEST INSTABILITY AND FOCUSED
ASCENT/MID LEVEL SPEED MAX...AND RESULTANT MODERATELY STRONG/LARGELY
UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND FIELDS ABOVE THE SURFACE PER WSR-88D VWP DATA
FROM MORRISTOWN/HUNTSVILLE...WILL FAVOR SOME STRONGER/POTENTIALLY
SEVERE MULTICELLULAR STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS
OVERNIGHT.

..GUYER.. 05/07/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...

LAT...LON   35488555 36138462 36188221 35898161 35148169 34508256
            34318497 35488555



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