[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jun 26 14:35:43 CDT 2009


ACUS11 KWNS 261935
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261934
KYZ000-OHZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-262100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1337
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0234 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MO...NERN AR...EXTREME SRN IL...SRN
IN...KY...WRN/NRN MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 261934Z - 262100Z

STRONG STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER SERN MO/WRN TN...AND VISIBLE
IMAGERY SHOWS TCU/INITIAL THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER SRN IN AND
NRN/CNTRL KY.  CONVECTION MAY CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
AND TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR INTENSIFICATION AND A POSSIBLE WW.

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AXIS IS LOCATED FROM SERN MO/NERN AR
INTO ERN KY AHEAD OF A DIFFUSE FRONTAL BAND MOVING SLOWLY SWD ACROSS
THE NRN PART OF THE OH VALLEY.  POTENTIAL INSTABILITY IS ENHANCED BY
DRY AIR IN MID/UPPER LEVELS AS INDICATED BY WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY...WITH LATEST OBJECTIVE MESOANALYSIS SHOWING MLCAPE OF
2000-3000 J/KG ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA.  MODERATE DEEP LAYER
SHEAR OF 25-35 KT WILL AID IN STORM ORGANIZATION...WITH A THREAT FOR
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AS STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

..WEISS.. 06/26/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   38838605 38908477 38718376 38288333 37378330 36698402
            35908714 35158933 35589071 36169056 36959021 38698721
            38838605



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