[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jun 16 19:04:12 CDT 2009


ACUS11 KWNS 170003
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170002
VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-170100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1165
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0702 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR ERN TN...SWRN VA...WRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 433...436...

VALID 170002Z - 170100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
433...436...CONTINUES.

DAMAGING WIND THREAT CONTINUES WITH LONG-LIVED QLCS THAT HAS REACHED
A DICKENSON COUNTY VA TO WASHINGTON COUNTY TN LINE AS OF 2355Z.
OVERALL POTENTIAL APPEARS TO HAVE DIMINISHED IN AREAL EXTENT
COMPARED TO EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON...AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DO SO
THROUGH MID-EVENING. ABUNDANT CLOUD COVERAGE HAS LIMITED DOWNSTREAM
DESTABILIZATION ACROSS SWRN VA INTO WRN NC. IN ADDITION...THE QLCS
APPEARS TO HAVE OUTRUN STRONGER LOW/MID-LEVEL WLYS THAT PERSIST
FARTHER WEST /PER AREA VAD PROFILERS/. THUS...HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
TN/VA BORDER MAINLY WITHIN WW 436...GIVEN EMBEDDED BOWING STRUCTURES
AND RECENT STORM MOTION OF 35-40 KTS.

FARTHER W...STABILIZING EFFECTS OF EARLIER CONVECTION HAS LIKELY
RENDERED LITTLE /IF ANY/ ADDITIONAL SEVERE THREAT WITHIN WW 433.

..GRAMS.. 06/17/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...

LAT...LON   37248071 37028044 36638041 36278060 36018089 35798126
            35778201 35868252 36188285 36978247 37308242 37458153
            37248071

WWWW
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