[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Jun 15 19:51:46 CDT 2009


ACUS11 KWNS 160051
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160050
GAZ000-ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-160145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1148
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0750 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AL/MS...FAR SRN MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 425...

VALID 160050Z - 160145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 425
CONTINUES.

GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
SHOULD SINK SEWD FROM THE SRN MIDDLE TN/NERN MS/NWRN AL BORDER
REGION INTO MORE OF NRN AL THROUGH MID-EVENING.

AS OF 0045Z...GUST FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A QLCS EXTENDED FROM NEAR
UOX TO 35 W MSL. ON THE WRN PORTION OF THE QLCS ACROSS MOST OF NRN
MS...THE OUTFLOW REMAINS ABOUT 10 MILES S OF HIGH REFLECTIVITY
CORES. FARTHER E...PRIMARY DAMAGING WIND THREAT EXISTS WITH EVOLVING
BOWING SEGMENT THAT IS NEAR THE JUXTAPOSITION OF THE MS/AL/TN
BORDER. THIS SEGMENT SHOULD RIDE ALONG TO PERHAPS S OF OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY THAT ONGOING TSTMS JUST W OF HUN DEVELOPED UPON EARLIER.
ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL MASS RESPONSE IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAK THIS
EVENING...RELATIVE TO A STRENGTHENING LLJ MUCH FARTHER W ACROSS THE
PLAINS...AN INCREASE IN MID-LEVEL W/NWLYS HAS BEEN NOTED OVER THE
PAST FEW HOURS AT BLOOMFIELD MO PROFILER. GIVEN THIS AND THE
ORGANIZED NATURE OF THE ONGOING QLCS...ALONG WITH A VERY UNSTABLE
AIR MASS TO THE S /WITH MLCAPES NEAR 3500 J/KG IN 00Z BMX AND LZK
RAOBS/...A DAMAGING WIND AND MARGINAL HAIL THREAT SHOULD PERSIST FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS NRN AL.

..GRAMS.. 06/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   34668541 34258526 33858536 33628569 33368626 33578740
            33788825 34008873 34488891 34818867 35058837 35248797
            35178721 35038621 34668541



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