[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jun 12 20:01:46 CDT 2009


ACUS11 KWNS 130101
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130100
GAZ000-ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-130230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1087
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL AL INTO GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 389...393...

VALID 130100Z - 130230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
389...393...CONTINUES.

SEVERE TSTM WATCHES 389/393 CONTINUE UNTIL 03Z/05Z
RESPECTIVELY...WITH PRIMARY RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL AL /INCLUDING THE BIRMINGHAM VICINITY/ IN THE SHORT
TERM.

SEVERE MCS/RESIDUAL BOW CONTINUES TO STEADILY PROGRESS
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN AND NORTH
CENTRAL/NORTHWEST AL AND FAR EAST CENTRAL MS AS OF 0045Z. SOME
DECELERATION HAS TENDED TO OCCUR WITH THE MCS...BUT NEVERTHELESS...A
RATHER STRONG SURFACE COLD POOL/FORWARD MOMENTUM WILL CONTINUE TO
SUSTAIN A DISTINCT DAMAGING WIND THREAT /ALONG WITH AN ISOLATED
TORNADO AND SOME HAIL RISK/...MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL AL OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. A RESIDUALLY MOIST/UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINS AHEAD
OF THE MCS...WITH JACKSON MS AND ATLANTA GA 00Z OBSERVED RAOBS
REFLECTING AMPLE INSTABILITY /2500+ J PER KG MUCAPE/ AND DRY AIR
ALOFT/THETA-E DIFFERENTIAL CONDUCIVE FOR CONTINUED DAMAGING WIND
POTENTIAL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. DOWNSTREAM PORTIONS OF GA ARE
BEING MONITORED FOR AN ADDITIONAL SEVERE TSTM WATCH.

..GUYER.. 06/13/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...TAE...OHX...BMX...HUN...MOB...JAN...

LAT...LON   35528763 35568628 33728399 31378446 32458913 33968767
            35528763



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