[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jun 10 01:13:19 CDT 2009


ACUS11 KWNS 100613
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100612
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-100645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1014
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0112 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CENTRAL INTO NERN AR/WRN TN/NRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY

VALID 100612Z - 100645Z

A NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH WILL BE COORDINATED SHORTLY WITH AFFECTED
WFO/S FROM CENTRAL/NERN AR INTO WRN TN/NRN MS.

REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED A BOW...CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER NWRN/NRN
AR...HAD INCREASED IN FORWARD SPEED TO 40 KT SINCE 05Z.  THIS BOW IS
TRACKING ESEWD ALONG A CORRIDOR OF MODERATE INSTABILITY WHICH
EXTENDS INTO WRN TN/NRN MS.  50 KT WLY MID LEVEL JET OVER NERN
OK/SWRN MO WILL TRANSLATE ESEWD INTO WRN TN BY 12Z.  ASCENT WITH
THIS JET AND WLY LLJ EXTENDING INTO AR SHOULD MAINTAIN THE BOW
BEYOND 09Z...WITH THE CURRENT BOW EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF WW 361 BY
07Z.  IF THE BOW IS MAINTAINED OVERNIGHT...AS SUGGESTED BY THE 00Z
4KM WRF NMM...IT SHOULD REACH WRN TN/NRN MS BY 11Z.

..PETERS.. 06/10/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   34789259 35059269 35989150 36239123 36359014 36268884
            35718799 34658819 33648880 33708999 34369147 34789259

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