[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Jul 5 13:22:33 CDT 2009


ACUS11 KWNS 051822
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051821
KYZ000-TNZ000-051915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1441
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0121 PM CDT SUN JUL 05 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...KY...TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 051821Z - 051915Z

SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ACROSS MUCH OF KY INTO MIDDLE
TN.  WW MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS ACTIVITY.

A MARKED INCREASE IN CONVECTION IS NOTED ACROSS KY INTO MIDDLE TN
FOCUSED NEAR SFC LOW AND ALONG COLD FRONT.  THIS ACTIVITY IS
DEVELOPING WITHIN A MODESTLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT...ESPECIALLY OVER
TN WHERE MLCAPE VALUES ARE ON THE ORDER OF 2000 J/KG.  ALTHOUGH
VERTICAL SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...CERTAINLY SUPPORTIVE OF
MULTI-CELL OR PERHAPS A FEW SUPERCELLS...NUMEROUS UPDRAFTS AND
LIKELY CLUSTERING SUGGEST LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

..DARROW.. 07/05/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   35538906 37638557 37298322 35988492 35298699 35538906

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