[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Apr 10 12:59:35 CDT 2009


ACUS11 KWNS 101759
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101758
TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-101930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0430
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MS...NRN AL THROUGH MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 132...

VALID 101758Z - 101930Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 132 CONTINUES.

THREAT FOR STRONG/DAMAGING TORNADOES WILL LIKELY PERSIST NEXT FEW
HOURS WITH STORMS MOVING THROUGH MIDDLE TN INTO NRN AL. LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WIND MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS.

COUPLE OF LINES OF MOSTLY DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CONTINUE FROM MIDDLE
TN SWWD THROUGH EXTREME NERN MS INTO NW AL. THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MINIMAL CONVECTIVE INHIBITION ALLOWING
STORMS TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING ALONG CLOUD STREETS IN WARM SECTOR
AHEAD OF THE EWD ADVANCING COLD FRONT. BULK SHEAR OF 50+ KT AND
LARGE HODOGRAPHS WITH 0-1 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY FROM 200-300
M2/S2 ASSOCIATED WITH THE EWD ADVANCING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE TO PROMOTE SUPERCELLS WITH LOW LEVEL MESOCYCLONES. GIVEN
THE PROPENSITY TO MAINTAIN DISCRETE STORMS WITHIN THE FAVORABLY
SHEARED AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT...SOME SUPERCELLS WILL
REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG TORNADOES NEXT FEW HOURS.

..DIAL.. 04/10/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   35588530 34408617 33568771 34038864 35298742 36538647
            36358553 35588530



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