[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Apr 10 11:15:05 CDT 2009


ACUS11 KWNS 101614
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101614 COR
TNZ000-ALZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-ILZ000-101730-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0429
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1114 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN THROUGH MIDDLE TN...WRN THROUGH S CNTRL
KY...NRN MS AND NRN AL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 131...

VALID 101614Z - 101730Z

CORRECTED FOR TEXT IN SECOND PARAGRAPH

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 131 CONTINUES.

THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND CONTINUES
ACROSS A PORTION OF WRN TN...WRN KY AND NRN MS. THE THREAT WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD INTO MIDDLE TN...S CNTRL KY DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE HOURS. ACTIVITY WILL ALSO BEGIN TO AFFECT PARTS OF NRN AL
WHERE A NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SOON.

STORMS THAT ORIGINALLY DEVELOPED ALONG THE COLD FRONT HAVE MOSTLY
DISSIPATED. HOWEVER...NEW STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN OVER WRN TN AND
NRN MS ALONG CLOUD STREETS WITHIN WARM SECTOR JUST EAST OF THIS
BOUNDARY. DESPITE MORE LIMITED MOISTURE WITH NWD EXTENT INTO
KY...COLD TEMPERATURE ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN ADEQUATE INSTABILITY IN
THIS REGION. LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AXIS OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY FROM MS NEWD THROUGH WRN AL INTO WRN AND MIDDLE TN WHERE
HIGHER DEWPOINTS EXIST. FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH EWD
ADVANCING VORT MAX...NWD ADVECTION OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT IN THESE AREAS NEXT FEW HOURS. BULK SHEAR AND LOW LEVEL
HODOGRAPHS WILL REMAIN MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS AND
BOWING SEGMENTS WITH A THREAT OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND.

..DIAL.. 04/10/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   37068617 35768586 34648577 33958749 34598948 35878869
            37108851 37068617

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