[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Apr 10 10:54:04 CDT 2009


ACUS11 KWNS 101553
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101553
TNZ000-ALZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-ILZ000-101730-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0429
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1053 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN THROUGH MIDDLE TN...WRN THROUGH S CNTRL
KY...NRN MS AND NRN AL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 131...

VALID 101553Z - 101730Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 131 CONTINUES.

THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND CONTINUES
ACROSS A PORTION OF WRN TN...WRN KY AND NRN MS. THE THREAT WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD INTO MIDDLE TN...S CNTRL KY DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE HOURS. ACTIVITY WILL ALSO BEGIN TO AFFECT PARTS OF NRN AL
WHERE A NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SOON.

STORMS THAT ORIGINALLY DEVELOPED ALONG THE COLD FRONT HAVE MOSTLY
DISSIPATED. HOWEVER...NEW STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN WRM SECTOR OVER
WRN TN AND NRN MS ALONG CLOUD STREETS WITHIN WARM SECTOR JUST EAST
OF THIS BOUNDARY. DESPITE MORE LIMITED MOISTURE WITH NWD EXTENT INTO
KY...COLD TEMPERATURE ALONG WILL MAINTAIN ADEQUATE INSTABILITY.
LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY
FROM MS NEWD THROUGH WRN AL INTO WRN AND MIDDLE TN. FORCING FOR
ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH EWD ADVANCING VORT MAX...NWD ADVECTION OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE AND BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN THIS REGION NEXT FEW HOURS. BULK SHEAR
AND LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL REMAIN MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR
SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS WITH A THREAT OF TORNADOES...LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND.

..DIAL.. 04/10/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   37068617 35768586 34838589 34338777 34598948 35878869
            37108851 37068617



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