[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Apr 10 08:23:28 CDT 2009


ACUS11 KWNS 101323
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101322
TNZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-101445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0427
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0822 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS...WRN TN AND SW KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 101322Z - 101445Z

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM NRN MS THROUGH WRN TN AND SW KY
AND INTENSIFY THROUGH THE MORNING. THREAT WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS
AND BOWING SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL AND A FEW
TORNADOES. WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SOON.

THIS MORNING A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM A SURFACE LOW IN SE MO SWWD
THROUGH ERN AR. A WARM FROM EXTENDS EWD FROM THE LOW THROUGH SRN KY.
THE WRM SECTOR IS ALREADY MODERATELY UNSTABLE FROM CNTRL MS NWD
THROUGH WRN TN...AND OBSERVED SOUNDING AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS DATA
INDICATE ONLY A MODEST CAP IN PLACE. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES
TO WARM...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THE COLD FRONT WITHIN ZONE OF FAVORABLE AGEOSTROPHIC FORCING FOR
ASCENT NORTH OF UPPER JET MAX FROM EXTREME ERN AR THROUGH WRN TN AND
NRN MS. STRONG BULK SHEAR AND LARGE LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND AND A FEW TORNADOES PROBABLE.

..DIAL.. 04/10/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   36798671 35578677 33248966 33769108 35658957 36998842
            36798671



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