[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 010328
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010327
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-010430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1128
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1027 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MO...SRN IL...SWRN IND...WRN KY...WRN TN...AND
EXTREME NERN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 010327Z - 010430Z

ISOLATED HAIL AND A FEW STRONGER WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD WITH CLUSTERS OF TSTMS TRACKING SEWD THROUGH
THE LOWER OH/TN VALLEYS.

00Z UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT CURRENT TSTMS LOCATED OVER SRN
IL TO EXTREME SERN MO ARE LIKELY LOCATED ALONG A LOW-MID LEVEL
BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL MO TO MIDDLE TN.  WSWLY H7
FLOW ACROSS THIS REGION IS MAINTAINING MOISTURE/WARM AIR ADVECTIONS
TO SUPPORT ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT...WITH ACTIVITY
TRACKING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST.  40 KT WLY MID LEVEL WINDS WILL
RESULT IN SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR FOR A FEW ORGANIZED
STORMS...WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY PRODUCING HAIL APPROACHING
AND/OR LOCALLY EXCEEDING SEVERE VALUES.

ALTHOUGH MOISTURE/INSTABILITY IS STRONGER DOWNSTREAM OF THE ONGOING
ACTIVITY...THESE STORMS ARE MOST LIKELY ELEVATED AND WITH INFLOW
OCCURRING FROM THE WSW...SUCH THAT NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT SHOULD OCCUR
ALONG THE WRN FLANK.

..PETERS.. 06/01/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...

38848767 38548648 37778599 37028606 35918729 35648880
35799030 36559069 37768908



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