[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 102323
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102322
MSZ000-TNZ000-ARZ000-110045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0868
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0622 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN AR...WRN TN...NRN MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 296...298...

VALID 102322Z - 110045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 296...298...CONTINUES.

TORNADIC SUPERCELL TSTMS CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER EXTREME SWRN MO
SWD INTO ERN OK EARLY THIS EVENING.  TO THE EAST...STRONG-SVR TSTMS
ALSO EXIST...PRIMARILY ALONG SRN EDGE OF A COLD POOL...OR FOOTPRINT
OF EARLIER DAY CONVECTION ACROSS CNTRL AR NEWD INTO THE JONESBORO
AREA.

HIGHEST TORNADO POTENTIAL THROUGH MID-EVENING...WITHIN TORNADO
WATCHES 296/298...WILL LIKELY REMAIN NEAR/S OF FORT SMITH AR EWD
ACROSS CNTRL/SRN AR ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...THEN INTO NWRN/NRN
MS AND WRN TN...INCLUDING THE MEMPHIS METRO AREA.

FORT SMITH...MEMPHIS AND LITTLE ROCK VWPS EXHIBITED 0-1KM SRH IN
EXCESS OF 250 M2/S2...AND GIVEN LOW LCLS AND VERY STEEP MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES...TORNADIC SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIKELY.  A
COUPLE OF STRONG TORNADOES WILL REMAIN LIKELY.  OTHERWISE...DMGG
WINDS AND VERY LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

MEANWHILE...TO THE S ACROSS EXTREME SRN AR INTO GREENVILLE...
GREENWOOD MS AREAS...OR ALONG S OF ROUTE 82...THE SVR WEATHER
THREAT...IF ANY...WILL LIKELY NOT OCCUR UNTIL AFTER DARK.

A COLLABORATION CALL WITH LOCAL WFOS IN AR NWD INTO MO WILL BE
CONDUCTED SOON TO DISCUSS POTENTIAL WATCH REPLACEMENTS AS
NEIGHBORING TORNADO WATCH /WT 293/ TO THE NORTH EXPIRES.

..RACY.. 05/10/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

33339326 34059402 34929340 35079225 35409119 35948982
35588870 34558830 33878904 33499021 33219144 33219279



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