[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 182147
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 182146
KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-MSZ000-TXZ000-182245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0464
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0446 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SE MO...SWRN KY AND EXTREME NW TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 130...

VALID 182146Z - 182245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 130 CONTINUES.

TORNADO WATCH 0130 WILL EXPIRE AT 23Z. SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO
SPREAD EWD WITH TIME AND WW 0130 WILL LIKELY BE REPLACED BY ANOTHER
WW THAT WILL EXTEND FROM CNTRL AND ERN AR INTO PARTS OF WRN TN AND
KY.

A QUASISTATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM NRN KY SWWD THROUGH CNTRL AND
SWRN AR. WARM SECTOR INSTABILITY REMAINS MARGINAL OWING TO AREAS OF
WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH MUCAPE FROM
NEAR 700 J/KG ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY TO BELOW 500 J/KG INTO WRN
TN AND KY. A STRONG SSWLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL MAINTAIN STRONG
CONVERGENCE AND LIFT IN VICINITY OF THE FRONT WHERE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING AND TRAINING ENEWD THIS EVENING.
VERTICAL WIND PROFILES WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL AND BULK SHEAR WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT OCCASIONAL ORGANIZED STORMS. BOWING STRUCTURES
AND SUPERCELLS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL REMAIN
THE PRIMARY THREATS.

..DIAL.. 03/18/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...LZK...SHV...

36898716 36258781 34809003 33389367 33549438 36728995
37548773 37428711

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